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Author: Karmon, Ely (Dr.)

Turkey’s foreign policy is in shambles

Israel’s decision not to abide by the Turkish ultimatum about the need to apologize for the May 2010 Mavi Marmara flotilla incident brought the promised “Plan B” punishment: Turkey has decided to expel Israel’s ambassador to Ankara, downgrade its diplomatic ties to the lowest possible

Iran-Hamas Crisis and the Present Violence Flare in Gaza

Israel is extremely worried that Sinai could become the new platform for Palestinian terrorism from Gaza, possibly allied with al-Qaeda and Egyptian Salafist elements. Military strikes against terrorists in Egyptian territory, not sufficiently secured by its authorities, could seriously endanger the already sensitive relations with

Turkey – Iran Tensions

In a June 2012 Jerusalem Post article titled “A devil’s advocate view of ‘new’ Mideast”, I stressed that one of the results of the so-called “Arab Spring” is the growing competition between Turkey and Iran for hegemony in the Middle East, on the one hand

AQAP Inspire 8 & 9 Magazine

On May 2, 2012, Issues 8 and 9 of Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula’s English-language jihadi magazine Inspire were posted, probably to balance the Obama’s administration’s celebrations of the killing of Osama bin Laden.

The Iranian threats

Those who evaluate, as they did wrongly in the past, that Hezbollah’s Lebanese interests and internal political agenda will prevail and Nasrallah and the other leaders will disobey orders from Tehran, do not grasp the umbilical religious, political and economic bond to Iran. Hezbollah’s behavior

Iran Repeating its Terrorist Pattern in Africa

In the event of Iran’s vital interests being threatened by the international community, by the U.S. or by Israel, Africa could be a preferred ground for retaliation, directly or with Hezbollah’s support. First published by Haaretz.

Was Arafat poisoned with polonium? If so, by whom?

Under pressure after the recent Al-Jazeera nine-month investigation of Arafat’s death, Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas has given final approval to dig up Yasser Arafat’s remains and is also pressing for an international investigation of his predecessor’s death. Suha Arafat, who after his death had blocked requests

Tehran’s Terror Trigger

Since the beginning of the year, a worldwide Iranian-sponsored terrorist campaign against Israeli targets has been underway. Several attacks were foiled until mid-July, Bulgarian citizen, and wounding some 30 Israelis.The current wave began with a spate of failed attacks in January, in Bulgaria, Azerbaijan and Thailand.

The Geopolitical Poker Game that will Define the New Mideast

The uprising in Syria will have a tremendous influence on the future strategic landscape of the Middle East. The struggle inside Syria between the Alawite regime and the amalgam of opposition forces is the battle-ground for powerful regional players: Iran’s Shi’ite coalition against the recently

The attacks in Mumbai: is there a Pakistani connection?

After a long series of Islamist bombing campaigns in big Indian cities in the last two years, including Mumbai where 209 people were killed in July 2006, the multiple Mumbai terrorist attacks could signify a major escalation in the conflict between India and Pakistan.

Countering NBC Terrorism

In order to decide upon an approach for the countering of NBC terrorism we should first evaluate the real threat presented in this field by terrorist organizations, on the short and medium term. The present analysis is based on a research led by the author

Are we Nearer to a Major CBRN Terrorism Threat?

In light of the revolutionary events and the growing instability in much of the Greater Middle East and South Asia and the growing threat of failing states losing control on their chemical, biological and nuclear assets, an international effort to monitor, control and foil CBRN

Iran thumbs its nose at the world

The abduction of the 15 British soldiers aboard the HMS Cornwall three days ago is Iran’s way of telling or reminding the world that it is a powerful military and regional force, and that the international community should be advised against overstepping its boundaries when

Radicalization of jihadist movement in Pakistan

This paper gives a short comprehensive overview of Pakistan’s historical role in the emergence, development and radicalization of jihadist movements since the 1980s. India, as well as faraway states like the US and the UK, has suffered from this jihadist phenomenon. Since the early 1990s,

Radicalization of the Sunni-Shi’a Divide

The war in Iraq has produced a tremendous change in the Middle East and in the Muslim world at large. For the first time in history, an Arab country is controlled by the Shi’a. The West does not grasp yet the full meaning of the

Fighting and Defeating Hamas

In my previous op-ed of December 23, “Needed, A strategy against Hamas”, I advocated that Israel’s main strategic goal in a future military operation, should be the prevention of Hamas’ increased military and political strength and the shattering of the organization’s exclusive control of the

Needed, a strategy against Hamas

Hamas’ show of strength during its mass rally on December 14, 2008, celebrating its 21 anniversary, and the threatening declarations of its leaders in Gaza and Damascus, culminated in the cancellation of the six-month cease-fire (tahidyeh) with Israel. This stands in contrast to the lack

Gaza -The Humanitarian Aspect and the Propaganda War

It is a clear and known fact that Hamas deliberately uses the strategy of human shields in its operational terrorist and guerrilla activities. This commentary provides an elucidated review of the Hamas’ usage of Palestinian civilians as human shields in their efforts to exploit the IDF’s

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