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Hezbollah’s Hassan Nasrallah’s Speech Analysis: November 3rd, 2023

In his recent speech broadcast Friday November 3rd, 2023 on Hezbollah’s media channels, Nasrallah addressed several key themes. Firstly, Nasrallah aimed to bolster popular support for the resistance movement by personally appealing to the families of martyrs (57 Hezbollah’s fighters were killed during the war). He provided religious and moral justifications for their sacrifices, underscoring the importance of standing firm and willingness to sacrifice.

Secondly, addressing the perceived erosion of the resistance movements’ independent image, he clarified that the “Swords of Iron” operation was a “100% Palestinian operation.” He distanced Hezbollah and Iran from the decision-making process, stating that the initiative was entirely Palestinian, with neither Hezbollah nor Iran involved in the planning. Additionally, he listed various resistance movements across the Arab region, including those in Iraq and Yemen, and recognized Hezbollah’s participation in these efforts. He also commented on what he perceived as Israel’s leadership and command weakness within its home front, referencing his previous “Spider’s Web” speech (In 2000, he suggested that despite Israel’s military might, Israeli society is “spoiled” and lacks national resilience, potentially leading to rapid collapse in wartime). He connected this to the state-directed and independent evacuations that occurred.

Thirdly, the intensification of international criticism of the resistance movement prompted him to explain the precise timing of Hamas’s activities. He cited various factors as catalysts for the escalation and extremism among Palestinians, particularly those in Gaza, such as tensions surrounding the Al-Aqsa Mosque, prisoners, the Gaza blockade, settlements, and daily violence in the West Bank.

Fourthly, he described the current campaign as “historic,” capable of altering the course of history, and viewed the current situation as a potential stepping stone to all-out war. Moreover, he affirmed Hezbollah’s involvement in the conflict as early as October 8, claiming Israel’s ongoing weaknesses in military command and control, and its excessive demands regarding abductees and prisoners, which impede negotiations.

Fifthly, he warned of the growing potential for an international coalition, led by the U.S. and the U.K., aimed at the ultimate dismantling of Hezbollah and Hamas. He accused the U.S. of historical failures in Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan and criticized Israel’s unsuccessful attempts to eliminate the leaderships of Hezbollah and Hamas, including their inability to recover prisoners. He also castigated the U.S. as a major malefactor in regional affairs and called on Arab nations to sever ties with Israel, highlighting Israel’s failure to provide humanitarian aid to Gaza as a lack of humanity.

Finally, Nasrallah issued an ultimatum: Should Israel initiate any actions in Lebanon, all options would be on the table for his organization, emphasizing that ending aggression in Gaza is a prerequisite for averting a broader regional conflict. In summary, Nasrallah advocates for an immediate cessation of hostilities in the Gaza Strip to avoid unnecessary escalation. Despite the various deterrents, including Lebanese public opinion and Israeli and American military presence, other factors such as respect among resistance groups could precipitate a larger campaign. He insinuates that while the timing of Hamas’s attack might not have been shared, coordination and contact between Hezbollah, Iran, and Hamas is evident.